**No Clear Winner if Hezbollah and Israel Escalate to Ground War** Recent exchanges of fire between Israel and Hezbollah have raised concerns about the potential for a cross-border conflict, a move that carries significant risks for both sides. The situation escalated dramatically over the weekend, with Israel's air force reporting strikes on 290 targets in southern Lebanon, resulting in at least three fatalities. In retaliation, Hezbollah launched a barrage of 150 missiles, rockets, and drones into Israel, marking the most extensive attack since hostilities intensified following the Iran-aligned group's support for Hamas after October 7. As tensions rise, it remains uncertain whether the two factions have already entered a phase of "all-out" war. The seriousness of the recent exchanges suggests that the conflict could spiral further, with both sides facing the possibility of a ground war that offers no clear victor.